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Results

Four builds. What changed, and how much of each is actually AI.

For each one: the result, the before and after, and how the steps divide between rules, AI, and people.

The split

Most of a good AI system is not AI.

Across these four builds, 34 of 58 steps run on rules. AI reasoning handles 14. One uses machine learning. 9 stay with a person. Shares are by step count, not by time or cost.

BuildStepsRulesAI reasoningMachine learningA person
01 Sales call to costed proposal
136 (46%)4 (31%)1 (8%)2 (15%)
02 Candidate search and shortlisting
168 (50%)3 (19%)0 (0%)5 (31%)
03 Published analysis from a private dataset
139 (69%)3 (23%)0 (0%)1 (8%)
04 Structuring public records in an opaque credit market
1611 (69%)4 (25%)0 (0%)1 (6%)
All four5834 (59%)14 (24%)1 (2%)9 (15%)
01

Sales call to costed proposal

13 steps: 6 rules, 4 AI, 1 machine learning, 2 human

  • Rules6 of 1346%
  • AI reasoning4 of 1331%
  • Machine learning1 of 138%
  • A person2 of 1315%

Before

Someone went back through notes or the recording, wrote up what the prospect needed, priced ideas from memory, and drafted the follow-up. Quality depended on who took the notes.

After

A recorded call goes in. Pain points, costed proposal ideas, and a follow-up draft come out, ready for a person to review and send.

Why you can trust it: every proposed idea carries a word-for-word quote from the call, or it is left out. The draft goes to the team, never straight to the prospect.

How it ran

1 SelectIt runs after every sales call, with one owner and the same three outputs each time.
2 DiagnoseThe constraint was the write-up: turning an hour of conversation into evidence someone can act on.
3 DesignRules for intake, signature checks, transcript parsing, and price tiers. AI reads the call in four passes. A person sends.
4 ProveThe bar: every proposed idea carries a word-for-word quote from the call, or it is left out. Every score states its reason.
5 PilotThe draft goes to the team, never straight to the prospect. A person refines it and presses send.
6 DecideEach call is scored on five signals, so follow-up effort goes where the intent is.
02 · Recruiting business

Candidate search and shortlisting

16 steps: 8 rules, 3 AI, 5 human

  • Rules8 of 1650%
  • AI reasoning3 of 1619%
  • Machine learning0 of 160%
  • A person5 of 1631%

Before

Resumes sat on two boards and in a folder of documents. Answering a brief meant opening them one by one and building the shortlist by hand.

After

Resumes become structured profiles, a brief becomes a ranked shortlist, and the client responds on one link.

Why you can trust it: if the model fails, the rule-based ranking stands. The recruiter picks the shortlist and sends it; AI never contacts the client.

How it ran

1 SelectThe same search repeats for every client brief, and the data already sat in one system.
2 DiagnoseThe constraint was reading, not searching. The facts were locked inside documents.
3 DesignRules for sync, duplicates, query parsing, and first-pass scoring. AI structures each resume once and re-ranks the top 20. The recruiter picks.
4 ProveIf the model fails, the rule ranking stands. The stronger model runs once per resume, the cheaper one on each search.
5 PilotThe recruiter builds the shortlist and sends it. AI drafts the email and never contacts the client.
6 DecideClients request introductions on the shared link, so each shortlist has a visible result.
03

Published analysis from a private dataset

13 steps: 9 rules, 3 AI, 1 human

  • Rules9 of 1369%
  • AI reasoning3 of 1323%
  • Machine learning0 of 130%
  • A person1 of 138%

Before

Each market note was written by hand: pull the numbers, build the charts, write the story, check the figures again. Most findings in the data were never published.

After

The system picks the story, computes the numbers, drafts the narrative, checks every claim, and emails a person to approve.

Why you can trust it: every figure in the draft is recomputed from the data and checked again by a separate review. Nothing is published without a person’s click.

How it ran

1 SelectA repeatable output on a fixed schedule, from data already structured and owned.
2 DiagnoseThe constraint was trust, not writing speed. A published figure that is wrong costs more than no report.
3 DesignRules pick the topic, compute every figure, build the charts, and render the page. AI writes the narrative and runs a pre-publication review. A person approves.
4 ProveThe draft’s figures are recomputed from the data and checked again by a separate review. A blocking finding stops the run.
5 PilotThe draft stays hidden. The approver gets an email with the draft and one button. No click, no publication.
6 DecideA story is not repeated within three weeks, so each report has to say something new.
04 · Alpine’s own credit-data platform

Structuring public records in an opaque credit market

16 steps: 11 rules, 4 AI, 1 human

  • Rules11 of 1669%
  • AI reasoning4 of 1625%
  • Machine learning0 of 160%
  • A person1 of 166%

Result

130K+ loans and 1.4 trillion dollars of commercial real estate debt extracted from public filings, matched across sources, and confidence-scored.

Before

The information was public but unusable: scattered across thousands of documents in different formats, with borrowers behind layers of entities. Analysts pieced deals together one at a time.

After

A pipeline collects the records, extracts the loans, matches them across sources, and resolves who the borrower really is.

Why you can trust it: a record is promoted only when a second source corroborates it. Several agents gather evidence, and none may score its own confidence. Uncertain cases go to a person.

How it ran

1 SelectHigh value and a hard problem: the records are public, but nobody had structured them.
2 DiagnoseThe constraint was trust in each link, not extraction. A wrong match is worse than a missing one.
3 DesignRules parse, normalise, match within set tolerances, and decide promotion. AI reads scanned pages and proposes links. Several agents gather evidence, and none may score its own confidence.
4 ProveA record is promoted only when every blocker is clear, including a second corroborating source.
5 PilotUncertain cases go to a review queue for a person to adjudicate.
6 DecideEvery record carries one of four confidence tags, so an analyst knows what is confirmed and what is inferred.
Questions
Does AI do most of the work in these builds?
No. Across the four builds, 34 of 58 steps (59%) run on plain rules, 14 on AI reasoning, 1 on machine learning, and 9 stay with a person.
What kinds of work have you built?
Sales calls turned into costed proposals, candidate search and shortlisting for a recruiting business, published analysis from a private dataset, and public records structured for a credit market. Each one went through the same six stages: Select, Diagnose, Design, Prove, Pilot, Decide.
Contact

Have a workflow like one of these?

Half an hour with Andrew. If AI is not the answer, you will hear that too.